Obama wins NC by 13,693 votes.

obama.jpgIt’s unofficial at this time but it looks like Obama has won NC by the narrowest margin of any Presidential candidate in history.  And thankfully there is no disputing he won nationally, in a landslide.

This morning Connor got up and Amy told him Barack Obama won.  I didn’t think he knew who Obama was.  His response to her was “I told you John McCain didn’t win”.  Amy then informed me they had a mock election in Kindergarten and Connor voted for Obama, who apparently also won the popular vote of the East Wake Academy five year-olds.  Now it’s official.

Only in America can a country experience one of the greatest attacks on any nation by a man named Saddam Hussein and seven years later select our first minority named Barack Hussein Obama to the highest office in the world.  As a nation we have been deceived, misguided and thrown into economic chaos by a President and administration farther out of touch with their constituency than any in US history.  Is still have little sympathy for those who chose by ballot to have it happen for a second Bush term in 2004.  I may never get over that.  Hopefully this sends a clear message that we have chosen to redeem ourselves by doing what is right for our nation, our children and the world.

I saw one supporter with a sign in Chicago last night that I really thought summed it up.  It read:

“Hang on. – Help is on the way. – Obama 01/20/2009”

I even saw a little admiration for Obama from Carl Rove on Fox News last night.  At the beginning of Bushes first term he claimed Bush to be “A Uniter, not a Divider”.  Remember that?  Well we finally have the real deal.  43% of white voters cast their ballot for Obama.  That’s the highest percentage for any Democrat in US history.  That 43% of white voters comprised 64% of the total votes for Obama.  This was not a minority elected President.  He is a minority who was elected President.  And he was clearly chosen by the majority of us.

It’s like we finally have our adult supervision back at a time when we desperately need it.  It’s been a long time since any of us could say we have a true leader in the free world.  More importantly we now have a leader we can proudly send among many others throughout the world.  That’s how important this election was.  We may have finally gotten it right America.

It’s time to redeem the United States – Go vote!

obamalogo.jpgOne of my friends Daryl, a registered Republican, called me this morning and said “I just voted for a black man for President”.  Well done.  A white Republican from the south voted for an African-American President and walked away from the polls alive and well enough to speak of it.  It’s a historic day regardless of the outcome.  And since he voted for Bush twice I can almost forgive the error of his ways.  Almost…  Many, many fellow North Carolinian’s I’ve spoken to voted for Obama.  Often these were not people I would have picked as Obama supporters, including my mother-in-law, for example.  I think the polls are wrong.  They’re saying McCain still has a chance.  I’m starting to think landslide for Obama.

My predictions for this evening are that Obama takes North Carolina, a state not even the Obama camp considers a strong possibility but they’re making a run at it.  And he will also take Virginia, Florida, Colorado and Pennsylvania.  If this comes true then those who were complacent in the last two elections will be partially redeemed.  There is no redemption for those who voted for George W. Dumbass twice and cast a vote for McCain today.  This core ideology of hate and moral based legislation is stale and outdated.  The old school “conservative” ideology will be washed away today and with any luck won’t return.  The Republican party has proven itself to be a bad brand.  It has been proven that no political party holds the patent on patriotism.  In this spirit with any luck Kay Hagan will be NC’s next Senator and a Republican, Pat McCrory will be our next Governor.  I say this because voting is not about party lines or partisan ideology.  It’s about picking the best person on the ballot for the job.

High voter turnout generally favors Democrats.  If this holds true then we could see the Democrats take a super majority of Congress tonight.  I’m not convinced this is a good thing.  I believe there’s value in varying opinions and positions on issues.  It creates necessary debate.  What we do need to overcome is partisan paralysis so it will be beneficial for Democrats to control both Congress and the White House.  Laws will get passed.  Some may get repealed if we’re lucky (think Patriot Act).

And my last prediction before I watch the vote count: There’s going to be a hell of a big party in Chicago tonight.  Several people I know are planning victory parties locally.  None are Republicans.

The wealthy are taking a vacation from reality.

David Kelly, chief market strategist for JPMorgan Funds is proof positive that the guys in the best paying chairs at investment banks are out of touch. He was quoted this morning as saying “The market is in a manic phase…It’s like a kid throwing a tantrum. At some point you have to let them cry themselves out because there’s no reasoning with them. Eventually, the market will respond more to fundamentals.”

Uh, David, the market is responding to fundamentals. Low and stagnant wages, growing unemployment, the rising costs of goods and services. Does any of this sound familiar? David must be talking about the same “strong fundamentals” McCain was preaching about as late as September. His statement personifies the main problem our country faces finding a consensus agreement on fixing this economy. The rich want to fix the problems effecting their precious portfolios but fail to realize it won’t happen until the micro economy is repaired first. But creating jobs and wages is a more complicated problem than analyzing stock values so the mighty trust and hedge fund managers don’t want to go there. Furthermore, God forbid, it might cost money.

Wall Street pundits haven’t hit the point of not being able to afford Doctor’s visits or put gas in their $50K SUV’s. They are so far insulated from the financial crisis on Main Street that they turn their heads as if to keep from watching a bloated African kid eat dirt and swat flies. They stay in denial using Wedgwood china to create a happy place. Retail sales are going to be real bad around the holiday’s this year. People could start losing their very ability to take care of their families day to day. Meanwhile a segment of trust fund honchos will continue to sit around debating whether or not we’re in a recession. John McCain should be flat out embarrassed that he endorses this Save the Yacht Club through his campaign.

Understand this Senator McCain: Main Street is not concerned about making sure you and your rich friends continue to prosper. Your prosperity is not helping the MAJORITY of Americans who do not share in your wealth. Many struggle day to day and week to week. And this word “struggle” is not just feel good campaign jargon. For you to argue that it’s “wrong” to “spread the wealth” because so many wealthy Americans “worked hard” for all they’ve accumulated is bullshit sir. To this end I will challenge you to provide provide me one example of truly “hard work” your wife performed that is deserving of her wealth during her tenure on this planet. I will counter with an offering of a day labor job that would probably kill her. That’s right, I brought your Beer Heiress wife into it.

Nobody’s asking for a handout John. People are demanding fair pay for a fair days work. The “take it or leave it” offer of low wages for serious labor is no good for the working men and women of America. Like so many other wealthy Americans the trust funds your children will inherit are the benefit of your wife’s good fortune – not her hard work.

It’s Time to Stop Conglomorates

And now the US government is encouraging mergers between institutions that have been deemed “too large to fail”.  Once upon a time we relied on things known as antitrust laws to prevent this.  These were not only meant to make companies spur competition and diversity, keep them from growing so large that their failure would be detrimental to the economy as a whole but also keep them from gaining too much political power and influence. Just listen to the Republicans rant about the “average Joes”, who are nowhere near average with incomes above $250K per year, and you can understand where the current complacency regarding the aggregation and concentration of wealth comes from.

This excessive greed and sense of entitlement on the part of the wealthy in America is specifically what got us into our current economic crisis.  The argument from the wealthy is that anything less is “socialism”.  This is far from the truth.  For every law that has been passed in the name of consumer protection or to stop the aggregation of companies beyond a level considered tolerable to maintain a functional economy there has been an army of lawyers ready to find the loopholes in these laws so that powerhouse mergers can continue.  Large corporations like the idea of being able to buy the competition instead of actually competing against them with superior products and services.  It’s become the Corporate American standard.

And now the government has entered the business of negotiating and mandating these mergers through the Federal Reserve.  They are also funding non-financial companies deemed “too large to fail”, which did anyway.   This is not just a slippery slope.   It’s a triple diamond run covered in Crisco.  There’s a real problem on the horizon here.  In the case of a fine, fee or public protection issue from these institutions who do we think is going to protect the consumer?  Regardless of how damaging one of these institutions actions may be for many Americans the government will let them press ahead if it means a “return for the tax payer”, which sounds a lot like “return for the share holder”.  And we all know share holder returns trump everything when it comes to corporate policy.

I’d like to know exactly how spending the tax dollars of future generations to bail out companies, that may or may not result in a return, benefits the tax payer at all.  In the future it will help build more military equipment?  Will it help build more highways?  I got news:  Those things would be done anyway using the same pretend money that was used to bail out the institutions that were “too big to fail” in the first place.  Sucker.

McCain is back in town…

And his continued attack was that Obama plans to “redistribute wealth” by raising taxes on those making more than $250,000 a year and lower them on those making less.  Good.  If you’re rich be weary because your wealth does not mean you should pay a lower percentage of your income in taxes than the rest of us.

And the ultimate hipocracy: Many, many McCain supporters are flat and fair tax supporters.  Yet they are on McCain’s bandwagon attacking this “redistribution of wealth”.  Do they have any idea at all that a fair tax would make those earning over $250K a year pay a lot more in taxes than either Obama or McCains current plans?  Chew on that.

I think that’s what made my decision.  Going down the list I see a lot less hipocracy in Obama’s statements than McCain’s.  And then of course there’s Caribou Barbie.

They finally let McCain be McCain…

And do you know what’s sad for Senator McCain?  Even if everything he said in last night’s debate were accurate I still wouldn’t vote for him.  It’s not only the message, it’s the delivery.  The way a candidate delivers the message says a lot about the person.  John McCain comes across as cranky, arrogant, condescending and worst of all spiteful.  This is not the type of leader I want running our country.  And regardless of his delivery last night (or should I say intentional aggression) his message was still off.

McCain claims Obama’s trying to “spread around the wealth”.  Well that’s a hell of a lot better than the extreme concentration of wealth that’s gone on recently.   And I’d say a majority of this concentration of wealth has nothing to do with people’s “hard work that should be rewarded”.  That’s the fallacy.  McCain made a big deal about “Joe the plumber” who can’t buy his business under Obama’s tax plan.  Boo, hoo Joe.  Like many American’s I’m trying to find money to pay for my car right now.  Why do I give one rat’s ass that you can’t buy a business?  That’s your problem Joe.

McCain’s economic attack amounted to going after the fact that Obama doesn’t support trickle down or “piss on the people” economics.  Good for Obama.  The idea that giving rich people more “incentives” and “financial breaks” means they go out and create high paying jobs has been catagorically denounced by a mojority of economic scholars as a a fairy tale.  It doesn’t happen.  People sit on the money or spend it on exclusive, luxury goods for themselves.  This benefits no one but a small handful of exclusive retailers and manufacturers of European sports sedans.  Yay for them.  McCains economic plan = Save the Yachts.

Don’t even get me started with McCain’s health plan.  The only things he’s right about is the cost of health services is too high.  The idea of taxing employer sponsored health plans is a joke and this is the type of arm’s reach regulation small businesses should be worried about.  I am no fan of Corporatist America and that is exactly what McCain supports.  More power to corporations, indemnification and buyer beware.  Modern corporations are too large and legally defended for it to be them against consumers.  Like it or not corporations need outside regulation and oversight.  They cannot be allowed to police themselves. Their motivations are not in the consumers best interest.

Round three Obama as far as I’m concerned.  The more I listened to McCain, the less likely I was to vote for him.  His fate is sealed on my ballot.

One more reason not to vote for McCain…

Because he’s resorted to a smear campaign.  I don’t care if the allegations he makes about Obama are true or not.  He’s a grumpy old man who’s resorted to throwing dirt.

With all the problems this country has right now the last thing we need is more negative finger pointing.  We need to be working on and offering solutions.  The infrequent solutions McCain has offered are ridiculous, bordering insane and have few supporters atesting to their potential or effectiveness.

Oh and Senator McCain, even most Republican’s that are voting for you aren’t really voting for you.  They’re voting against Obama.  One of your supporters I know finally got honest the other day.  He screamed “I’m not just mad, I’m racist mad!”

If these are the type of people who support McCain I’m glad I don’t count myself among them.  McCain supporters I know now consist of those who are “racist mad”, the Aristocracy above $250K a year in annual salary and those who feel that “we have all these problems because God’s been taken out of everything”.  None of these views present any logical, intelligent solutions to the domestic, economic and foreign relations policies we face as a nation.  They are simply rants from angry, desperate people like McCain who are not real sure what to do right now.

Why are we struggling?

I don’t want to talk about the larger economy today.  It’s a mess.  The DOW’s going to end down again and there’s no end in sight to the bureaucracy that is taking place to try to fix the micro economic situation.  The government and the financial analysts are still trying to fix this mess from the top.  Yes, they’re that stupid.  Despite a mojority of American’s drowning in debt, fees and interest they still think the best solution is to throw billions at big companies.  They still want the solution to “trickle down” or “piss on the people”.

Consumers need spending power.  Let’s reverse engineer this from the bottom up.  What got us here in the first place?

  1. Borrowing. Most people pay for everything they have monthly.  And those that have paid cash for middle tier items (like my plasma TV) still finance at least their car or home.  These loans have begun to become a real threat now that wages are decreasing and people are losing jobs.
  2. Rising costs. Gas is up, food is up, retail goods are up.  In short, inflation.  Although the Feds won’t admit we’re experiencing inflation (hence more cuts in interest rates).  Inflation is defined as: “The overall general upward price movement of goods and services in an economy, usually as measured by the Consumer Price Index and the Producer Price Index.”  I’ll be damned if the first part of that definition is not what we’re experiencing now.  I don’t care what Chairman Bernanke and his indexes say.
  3. Stagnant and low wages. Never in US history have wages experienced a slower increase verses inflation.
  4. Job losses. In my opinion this is where it all started around 2005, possibly earlier.
  5. Fines, fees and taxes. The government still wants theirs, even if your children can’t eat.  This in itself wouldn’t be such a problem if the citizens and were getting their moneys worth.   Unfortunately almost every municipal, state or federal government are the most irresponsible and corrupt spenders among us.  They call it revenue but right now it’s extortion and literally taxation without representation.
  6. The cost of health care. Notice I didn’t say the cost of health insurance.  Insurance is expensive because the cost of health care continues to rise at eight times the rate of inflation.

So here’s the skinny as I see it: Someone’s got to take the hit.  I’m going to try to analyze which gut punches might be the most favorable.

  1. Creditors can relieve some debt and take a loss.  If the originators of the sub prime mortgage loans had been more willing to take a loss on a mortgage re-write three years ago they may still be in business today.  Instead they opted to foreclose because they bundled these mortgages into complex securities and lost track of which investors actually controlled note.  They literally couldn’t do the re-writes because too many players were involved.  Auto and credit card lenders are next in line.  They better learn a lesson and be prepared to modify terms even if it means a loss in projected future revenue – or else.
  2. Retailers, wholesalers and manufactures could lower the cost of goods.  This in turn would increase the consumers spending power but could adversely effect wages and jobs.  Probably not the best bet.
  3. Employers could give raises. Again, this increases spending power but could have an adverse effect on the businesses ability to maintain profitability unless the cost of goods and services increases.  Kind of a trade off so it probably wouldn’t work.
  4. NAFTA can be modified or repealed. Bring jobs back to the US.  This would mean an increase in operating cost for a lot of those companies big enough to have shipped jobs and manufacturing over seas anyway.  Despite what many micro economic analysts argue, I’ll never be convinced NAFTA was a good deal for the US.  It was only a good deal for the US companies who wanted to increase profit margins by shipping jobs and manufacturing costs to areas of the world where they could get it done for a fraction of the cost over here.
  5. Governments needs to stop wasting so much money. <-Period.  One of the only things I agree with McCain on is that we’ve got to limit special interests and earmarks in legislation.   That would allow fiscally responsible governments to operate within their budget, national Beekeepers association and wooden arrow manufacturers be damned.
  6. Reduce the cost of health care. I have a real problem with the fact that health care organizations are allowed to operate as publically traded companies.  You cannot put profitability and share holder interest above the health of individuals.  I realize not all hospitals are part of HCA or other publicly traded companies and surprise, surprise, they are usually the least expensive.   This is one industry where unpopular government intervention may be required in the form of price caps and cost controls.

If we can implement even some of these ideas the micro economy could see a rebound.  Unlike the top-down method of repair currently being pursued in Washington many Americans would immediately feel relief on their personal finances.  This would in turn stimulate the dollar and like some kind of magic the micro economy would be healed.  I hate to think of the short and long term consequences of not addressing the financial strain on Main Street.